Predicting The Minnesota Vikings Entire 2025 Season

Predicting The Minnesota Vikings Entire 2025 Season
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The stakes could not be higher for the 2025 Minnesota Vikings.

When Kwesi Adofo-Mensah and Kevin O’Connell took over in 2022, they inherited a team that was a shell of its former self, a husk of the Mike Zimmer glory days. The two promised a “competitive rebuild”, walking a fine line of shedding bad contracts, cutting aging players and swapping Kirk Cousins for a QB on a rookie contract, while also trying to field a winning team each season. 

To their credit, they’ve done just that. This year’s Vikings are almost unrecognizable from the team they first took over, and Minnesota never truly bottomed out, with a 34-17 record and 2 playoff appearances in 3 seasons. 

But now, the rebuild is over. The expectation is to win. The Vikings have spent big in free agency the past two offseasons, trying to build the best possible team around new QB J.J. McCarthy. They’re coming off a 14-win season but with a disappointing ending, and looking to finally break into the top tier of the NFL.

Everything has been building to this year. This is one of the most important seasons in Minnesota Vikings history, and could be the defining year of the Kwesi-KOC regime. But just how good are the 2025 Vikings going to be? 

Today, I’m going to try and answer that question by going through their entire schedule, game by game, and predicting their wins and losses. Is this finally the Vikings’ year? Let’s find out. 

Week 1 @ Chicago Bears: W (1-0)

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It truly wouldn’t be a Minnesota Vikings season without a game against the Bears on Monday Night Football. Did you know, this will be the 9th time these two teams have played on Monday Night Football since the 2009 season?

This one means a little more. J.J. McCarthy makes his NFL debut against new Bears head coach Ben Johnson in his debut as these two divisional rivals kick off new eras. 

While I do like a lot of the moves that the Bears brought in this offseason, I still think that the Vikings are a little more complete of a team and should be able to take care of business, even on the road. 

Regardless of how good of a prospect you think J.J. McCarthy was, there’s no denying he’s been set up for success. At the very least, he should be a “system QB” that’s a part of a very good offense. I’m not sure that he’ll be perfect from the moment he takes the field, but with weapons and coaching staff surrounding him, he won’t need to be. Going against a solid but not spectacular Bears defense will be a good first game for him. 

The biggest challenge for the Vikings will be matching up with the deep collection of receivers for the Bears. DJ Moore, Rome Odunze, Luther Burden, Coleston Loveland and Cole Kmet is one of the most exciting groups of pass catchers in the league, and will really test the depth in the Vikings’ secondary, which has seen some turnover with the losses of Cameron Bynum and Stephon Gilmore. 

I expect this to be a very close and tense game, with both teams having a lot to iron out after offseasons full of changes, but in the end, Minnesota’s continuity in their coaching staff makes a big difference. I’m going to trust a Brian Flores-coached defense going against an offense learning a new scheme. The Vikings’ defense comes up with a few big sacks in the 4th quarter to close out a season-opening win.

Final score: 23-17 Vikings

Week 2 vs. Atlanta Falcons: W (2-0)

Credit: Ben Krause/Minnesota Vikings

The last time these two teams met, the Vikings put on perhaps their best offensive performance of the season, hanging 42 on the Falcons in Kirk Cousins’ return to Minnesota. I’m not sure that they’ll hit that number again, but I do think we’ll see the offense come to life in Week 2.

Justin Jefferson, TJ Hockenson and Jordan Addison (pending suspension) are simply too much for the Falcons’ defense to handle. While AJ Terrell and Jessie Bates are two great players in Atlanta’s secondary, the depth behind them is shaky. Kevin O’Connell did a great job “matchup hunting” with Jefferson and Addison, scheming up looks for those two against Clark Phillips and Mike Hughes. In last year’s game, Jefferson and Addison combined for 15 catches, 265 yards and 5 touchdowns. With no notable additions in Atlanta’s secondary, I’m expecting a similar plan of attack this year. I could also see the Vikings having some success on the ground against a light Falcons defensive line that lost one of its top contributors in Grady Jarrett. 

Atlanta can make this a game by leaning heavily on their own offensive stars in Bijan Robinson and Drake London. I thought Robinson played a great game in last year’s matchup between these two teams, and matches up well against a Vikings defense that has struggled with explosive running games in the past. I wouldn’t be surprised if the Falcons came out with a run-heavy approach early on to try and slow the game down and get Bijan going.

London might be just as much of a handful, especially given his large frame and physical play style. I do think the Vikings’ cornerback group is a little underrated, but there’s no denying that they don’t quite have the size to hang with some of the league’s bigger receivers. Isaiah Rodgers, Byron Murphy Jr. and Mekhi Blackmon are all under 6’, and one of them is going to have to guard the 6’4” London. 

Michael Penix taking over at QB for the Falcons also could bode well for London. Penix is a very aggressive quarterback with one of the strongest arms in the league, and won’t be afraid to throw up a few passes and trust London to come down with them. Don’t be surprised if London goes for well over 100 yards in this game. 

I was originally a little surprised to see this game get put on Sunday Night Football, but we could be in for a fun one here. There are a lot of stars on the offensive side of the ball, and we’ll see a QB rematch of the 2024 College Football National Championship game. I’ve got the Vikings getting the win in their home opener, thanks to a big-time game from Justin Jefferson and a few red zone rushing TDs from Jordan Mason and Aaron Jones. 

Final score: 30-23 Vikings

Week 3 vs. Cincinnati Bengals: L (2-1)

Credit: Credit: Sam Greene/Cincinnati Enquirer

Get your popcorn ready. This could be one of the most entertaining matchups of the entire regular season.

Friends become foes as Joe Burrow and Ja’Marr Chase travel to U.S. Bank Stadium for the first time in their careers to take on Justin Jefferson and the Vikings. There is an absurd amount of offensive firepower in this matchup.

While I would say the Vikings are a slightly better team than the Bengals on paper, I think Burrow throwing to Chase and Higgins will be a little too much for a young and inexperienced Vikings secondary to handle. 

There is going to be a ton of pressure on the Vikings’ defensive front to win and Brian Flores to scheme up some well-timed blitzes, because if Burrow has a clean pocket, that spells trouble. Burrow is not afraid to go big-play hunting, and I could see him hitting a few deep shots downfield if Chase or Higgins is left 1 on 1 when the Vikings blitz. Burrow is also one of the best in the league at making plays with pressure in his face, and had the NFL’s highest passer rating on pressured dropbacks last season.

The Vikings certainly have the talent to score with the Bengals, and their wide receivers are just as big, if not bigger mismatches with Cincy’s corners. I don’t doubt that either of these teams can go out and put up 30+ points in this one. 

Ultimately, I’m going to give the slight edge to the Bengals. Joe Burrow is one of the very best QBs in the NFL and accustomed to playing in shootouts like this, while McCarthy will be making only his 3rd start ever and rarely found himself in games like these in college. The Vikings get their first loss in a barnburner. 

Final score: 35-30 Bengals

Week 4 @ Pittsburgh Steelers (in Dublin): W (3-1)

Credit: Andy Clayton-King/AP Photo

Here’s where things get interesting. Minnesota will spend the next two weeks across the pond, becoming the first team in NFL history to play back-to-back games in different foreign countries. To start, they take on the Steelers in Dublin, facing off against an old foe in Aaron Rodgers.

Rodgers leads a Steelers offense that had a makeover this offseason, swapping out quarterbacks, running backs and receivers, with Kaleb Johnson and DK Metcalf joining the future Hall of Fame QB. 

While there are some big names on the offense, I don’t like the depth at receiver behind Metcalf and am a little skeptical of a 41-year-old Aaron Rodgers running Arthur Smith’s offense, given his issues with similar schemes in the past. The Vikings may be catching a break by facing the Steelers this early in the year while they figure things out with all of their new pieces. 

Pittsburgh’s defense will certainly pose a challenge, with the likes of T.J. Watt, Cameron Heyward, Joey Porter Jr. and Jalen Ramsey forming a talented and well-coached unit. It could be tough sledding for Minnesota’s offense throughout, and I think we’ll see a very low-scoring first half.

I’ll say that a big defensive score turns the tide in this one. History repeats itself with Andrew Van Ginkel scoring yet another international defensive touchdown on Aaron Rodgers, this time scooping up a fumble near the goal line on a sack. The Vikings eke out a sloppy, defensive battle in Ireland. 

Final score: 24-17 Vikings

Week 5 vs. Cleveland Browns (in London): W (4-1)

Credit: Alli Rusco/Minnesota Vikings

I’ll be honest, it wouldn’t be the most shocking thing in the world if the Vikings found a way to lose this game. International games are always a little funky, and we have no idea how staying in Europe an extra week is going to impact the team. But respectfully, I just struggle to see a world where they can’t beat the Browns. 

As the cliche goes, “defense travels.” Even if things get a little messy, I expect the Vikings’ defense to come up big and really limit Cleveland’s offense. Brian Flores has to be licking his chops when thinking about the things he’ll do to whoever the Browns trot out at quarterback. 

On the other side of the ball, the marquee matchup to watch will be Myles Garrett going against the Vikings’ offensive line. I think Garrett is the best defender in the entire NFL, and Cleveland DC Jim Schwartz has done a great job of moving Garrett around the defensive line, hunting for the best possible matchups. We’ll see plenty of Garrett vs. Christian Darrisaw, but every single Vikings offensive lineman should be prepared to get a few snaps in against him.

If the Vikings are able to stand up to the Browns’ pass rush, they should be able to have their way with Cleveland’s secondary. Similar to the Falcons, the Browns have an excellent number 1 corner in Denzel Ward, but very little else outside of that, especially with the recent injury to Martin Emerson. If Justin Jefferson is ever lined up on anyone outside of Ward, expect the ball to come his way. 

As long as Garrett doesn’t completely take over the game (which certainly is possible), Minnesota should be able to get out of Europe with another win.

Final score: 27-14 Vikings

Week 6: Bye

Credit: Minnesota Vikings

After a two-week stay in Europe, the Vikings get some much-needed rest on their bye week. 

Headed into their bye, the Vikings boast a 4-1 record, racking up a lot of key wins before entering a brutal stretch in their schedule. Their next four games include a game against the defending Super Bowl champs, followed by a cross-country road trip to LA on only 4 days rest, followed by games against the Lions and Ravens. 

This could be a season-defining stretch for the Vikings, and the difference between winning the division and homefield advantage in the first round of the playoffs or having to go on the road yet again. Are the Vikings true Super Bowl contenders? We’re about to find out. 

Week 7 vs. Philadelphia Eagles: L (4-2)

Credit: Matt Rourke/AP Photo

Congratulations on being the first-ever NFL team to play back-to-back international games in different countries! Your homecoming gift is a date with the Philadelphia Eagles. 

This is as big of a test as the Vikings will get all year. The revamped offensive and defensive lines are pitted against the Eagles, the gold standard of the trenches. Their rushing defense woes will be tested against Saquon Barkley and Jalen Hurts. The small cornerback group will have to go blow-for-blow with AJ Brown. J.J. McCarthy will have to match wits with Vic Fangio. 

I think it would take an all-time performance from Brian Flores for the Vikings to pull off the upset. Jalen Hurts is a quarterback who can run a little hot or cold, and has had his fair share of struggles when facing pressure, especially when blitzed. Hurts deserves a lot of credit for making major improvements against the blitz last season, but if anyone can make a defensive gameplan to rattle a QB, it’s Flores. I could see the Vikings getting a handful of sacks in this game.

However, I think Philly is just too much to handle. The Eagles are simply the better team, and match up really well with the Vikings. If Minnesota can just keep this a competitive game and look like they belong, that should be taken as a success. I don’t think this game will be a bloodbath by any means, but the Eagles get a comfortable win here.

Final score: 28-17 Eagles

Week 8 @ Los Angeles Chargers: L (4-3)

Credit: Brad Rempel/USA Today

After a tough home loss against one of the best teams in the NFL, the Vikings have to quickly pack up and head across the country to Los Angeles for a primetime game on only 4 days rest. If that sounds familiar, it’s because they did the same exact thing last season, heading to LA to play the Rams on Thursday Night Football just a few days after a game against the Lions. 

I think we’ll see a similar result this time around, too. On paper, I’d probably give the Vikings an edge over the Chargers, but LA is a good team in their own right and are catching Minnesota at a tough time in their schedule. 

Expect a heavy dose of Omarion Hampton. It’s no secret that Jim Harbaugh wants to run the ball, and I think Hampton may be in line for a huge workload in this game. The Chargers have made an effort to get even more physical up front with their signing of Mekhi Becton, and their downhill rushing attack may be a problem for the Vikings’ defensive front, which I think is a little more equipped to rush the passer than stop the run. 

Additionally, the Chargers have a clear advantage at quarterback. Justin Herbert is one of the best in the league, and had a monster performance against Flores and the Vikings defense back in 2023. Herbert excels at standing in the pocket and getting some outrageous throws off, and is one of the few QBs who I think can go toe-to-toe with Flores. 

One final thing to watch will be J.J. McCarthy going against his old Michigan coaches, Harbaugh and LA defensive coordinator Jesse Minter. I have no doubt that the Chargers’ coaching staff has this game circled on their schedule, and think Minter is going to come out with a great defensive game plan full of tricks and disguised coverages against his old QB. The Chargers’ defense was in the top 10 for most interceptions last season, and I could see them getting a few on McCarthy in this game. 

This loss stings for the Vikings, as they come up just short and drop back-to-back games before heading to Detroit to take on the Lions. 

Final score: 27-21 Chargers

Week 9 @ Detroit Lions: W (5-3)

Credit: Minnesota Vikings

The Vikings finally get the monkey off their back.

When Week 9 of the 2025 NFL season rolls around, it will have been 1,134 days since the Vikings have beat the Lions. Back then, Adam Thielen and K.J. Osborn were catching passes from Kirk Cousins, and T.J. Hockenson was still a Lion. That streak ends today, thanks to a huge performance from Jonathan Allen.

For the past few seasons, the Vikings have struggled with generating an interior pass rush without blitzing, and set out this offseason to remedy that issue. While Allen recently turned 30 and battled injuries last season, he has been one of the best interior pass rushers in the NFL throughout his career. He also dominated against the Lions in the playoffs last season, racking up 7 pressures and 2 QB hits in the Commanders’ Divisional Round win.

And this time around, Allen won’t be going up against one of the NFL’s best centers after the retirement of Frank Ragnow this offseason. If the Vikings can win that part of the line of scrimmage, it will go a long way towards slowing down a passing attack that has shredded them in the past few matchups. 

If the Vikings can hit a few big plays through the air, I really think they have a chance. Minnesota’s receivers have a lot to prove after being clamped up by an undermanned Lions defense in last season’s finale, but have historically performed really well against Detroit outside of that game. If the Lions stick with the same man-heavy approach they had under Aaron Glenn, the opportunities will be there. It’s on the Vikings to take them.

Final score: 24-20 Vikings

Week 10 vs. Baltimore Ravens: L (5-4)

Credit: Ulysses Muñoz/The Baltimore Sun

After an emotional win in Detroit, the Vikings come out flat against what I think is the best team in the NFL. 

Baltimore is absolutely loaded on both sides of the ball, and has an answer for practically anything that the Vikings could throw at them. Minnesota’s defense is put between a rock and a hard place in having to deal with Lamar Jackson and Derrick Henry, which might be the greatest QB-RB rushing attack ever. Baltimore should have no problem running downhill with Henry, and could set up a few huge plays through the air for Lamar. And the Vikings may want to tread lightly with blitzing Lamar, who is impossible to catch in the backfield and posted a 94.6 passer rating when pressured last season, 2nd best in the NFL. 

Defensively, the Ravens are one of the few teams that I think have the horses in the secondary to hang with the Vikings’ weapons. Marlon Humphrey, Nate Wiggins, Jaire Alexander and Kyle Hamilton make up a fantastic group on the back end, and when Roquan Smith is on his game, he’s one of the league’s best at erasing the middle of the field. One of the foundations of the Vikings’ offense is in-breaking routes in the intermediate middle part of the field, but that’s easier said than done against Smith and Hamilton. 

Even at home, I would be very surprised if the Vikings came away with the win here. I think the Ravens will control the majority of this game and get one of what will be many wins for them this season. 

Final score: 30-17 Ravens

Week 11 vs. Chicago Bears: W (6-4)

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For the 2nd straight season, the Vikings pull off a sweep of the Bears. 

Minnesota gets its offense rolling in its second meeting with Chicago, thanks to a big day from Jordan Addison. While Jaylon Johnson will be a great counter to Justin Jefferson, Addison should get plenty of good looks on the opposite side of the field while Jefferson soaks up all of the defensive attention. Addison went for 8 catches and 162 yards against Chicago last year, and if the Bears want to try to take away Jefferson again, McCarthy will have plenty of options elsewhere. 

I do think the Bears’ offense will also have a better showing in this game, with more time to get acclimated to Ben Johnson’s system. I’m still pretty high on Caleb Williams, and was really impressed with how he performed against the Vikings in their game in Chicago last season. I won’t count out Caleb and the Bears’ offense hitting a few big plays of their own, and it’s worth noting that Ben Johnson has had the Vikings’ number in his time as a playcaller. 

But I still think the Bears are just a little ways away from the rest of the division, and like the Vikings enough to beat them in both matchups again this season. This is a big divisional win that could go a long way in a tie-breaking scenario. 

Final score: 33-24 Vikings

Week 12 @ Green Bay Packers: L (6-5)

Credit: Jeffrey Becker/Imagn Images

Turnovers and a whole lot of Josh Jacobs power the Packers in Lambeau. 

In last year’s matchups, Green Bay dug themselves in a deep hole in the first half both times, forcing them to pivot away from the running game. In fact, when these two teams played at Lambeau last year, Josh Jacobs had only 9 carries in that contest. I struggle to see the Packers falling behind 27-3 again, and keeping the run game on the table would go a long way for this offense. I expect a lot of 5 and 6-yard runs up the gut from Jacobs, slowing the game down on a chilly day in Green Bay. 

On defense, the Packers’ calling card is forcing turnovers. Historically, forcing turnovers on defense varies a lot from season to season, but Xavier McKinney is one of the best ball hawks in the league and defensive coordinator Jeff Hafley deserves a lot of credit for coaching up the Packers’ defense. This is a unit that could force a “rookie mistake” or two from McCarthy.

I like the Packers a good amount this season, and think these two teams are pretty evenly matched. I’ll give Green Bay the win at home. 

Final score: 24-21 Packers

Week 13 @ Seattle Seahawks: W (7-5)

Credit: AP Photo/Lindsey Wasson

While the Seahawks may not quite have the overwhelming homefield advantage that they used to, a road game in Seattle, especially in late November, is no joke. Neither is this Seahawks defense under 2nd year coach Mike Macdonald. 

Seattle has a young, ascending and versatile secondary with the likes of Devon Witherspoon, Julian Love, Riq Woolen and 2nd round rookie Nick Emmanwori and is anchored by Leonard Williams up front, who is one of the best defensive linemen in the game. I think this will be one of the tougher defenses the Vikings face this season, and I wouldn’t be shocked if McCarthy played one of his worst games of the year in this one. 

Points will be at a premium, but I still do like the Vikings in this game. I think Seattle made some serious downgrades on offense this season, swapping out Geno Smith for Sam Darnold and D.K. Metcalf for an aging Cooper Kupp. 

The Vikings know all too well what Darnold looks like when he’s under heavy pressure, and Minnesota should be able to tee off against a Seahawks offensive line that been one of the worst units in the league for a few years running. This could be a big game for Dallas Turner, who I think could be in line for a breakout season in year 2. 

In a tight, defensive game, Minnesota wins the turnover battle and steals one on the road.

Final score: 21-18 Vikings

Week 14 vs. Washington Commanders: W (8-5) 

Credit: Joe Glorioso/All-Pro Reels

A few weeks ago, I wrote a story about the teams that made the playoffs last season that could be in line to miss it this season, and included the Commanders in that group. This may come back to bite me in a few months, but I’m honestly pretty low on Washington this season, and really like the Vikings’ chances in this one. 

I think this will be the weakest defense the Vikings play against all season, save for maybe the Bengals. As I outlined in my older story, the Commanders’ defense finished near the bottom of the league in most metrics and struggled to put up a fight against the league’s top offenses. 

Washington also runs one of the most man-heavy defenses in the NFL, while Jefferson and Hockenson are two of the best man-beaters in the league at their positions. I think the Vikings’ offense has a clear advantage here, and J.J. McCarthy could play his best game of the season in this matchup. 

I will say, I am still pretty high on Washington’s offense, and believe what I saw with Jayden Daniels in his rookie season. Daniels looks like a real-deal franchise QB, and similar to Lamar Jackson, is one of the toughest quarterbacks in the league to corral. I won’t count out a few big scrambles from Daniels or a deep shot to Terry McLaurin swinging this game. 

But I think the Vikings’ offense will be too much to handle. Minnesota picks up another huge conference win. 

Final score: 33-23 Vikings

Week 15 @ Dallas Cowboys: W (9-5)

Credit: Jeffrey Becker/USA TODAY Sports

A fairly unheralded trade made back in March will be the difference in this game.

I’m expecting Jordan Mason to be a very big part of the Vikings’ offense, especially in the second half of the season. Don’t be surprised if he takes over for Aaron Jones as the starter by this point. Mason is a young, fresh and talented runner, whose powerful running style matches up well against a Cowboys defense that struggles mightily to stop the run.

In 2024, Dallas ranked 4th to last in rushing yards allowed, 4th to last in rushing success rate allowed and 2nd to last in EPA per rush allowed, while not making any notable improvements to their run defense this offseason. The game plan should be pretty straightforward: pound the rock for 4 quarters. Thanks to the addition of Mason and 3 new offensive linemen, I actually like the Vikings’ chances to do that. 

This is a very, very specific prediction, but I’m going to make it anyway: Jordan Mason will win NFC Offensive Player of the Week for Week 15, thanks to a 23 carry, 132 yard and 2 touchdown performance on the ground. 

Minnesota takes the air out of the football and dominates time of possession, keeping the Cowboys’ explosive passing attack off the field and keeping their dominant pass rush at bay. The Vikings extend their winning streak to 3 games as they enter the home stretch of the regular season.

Final score: 25-20 Vikings

Week 16 @ New York Giants: L (9-6)

Credit: New York Giants

This has “trap game” written all over it.

While the Giants may be seen as one of the “weaker” teams on the Vikings’ schedule, I do think this is a sneaky-talented roster that’s going to be a very tough out this season. Hey, any given Sunday, right? Upsets happen all the time, and I think we could see one right here.

I think the Giants’ defense is going to be phenomenal this year. Dexter Lawrence is one of the very best players in the entire league, and is capable of wrecking games all by himself. Lawrence, alongside Brian Burns, Abdul Carter and Kayvon Thibodeaux as a rotational piece is an absurd pass rush that will be the ultimate test for this retooled Vikings offensive line. In last year’s matchup between the Vikings and Giants, Lawrence had his way with Minnesota’s line, and he should have even more help this time around. New York also quietly made some nice moves in the secondary, adding Paulson Adebo and Jevon Holland in free agency. 

This could be a tough unit for any offense to score on, especially outdoors in late December. While I am pretty high on J.J. McCarthy overall, I think it’s reasonable to say that he’ll have a few down games, as almost any first-year starter would, and this could be one right here.

The biggest question will be if the Giants can score enough points. I’m expecting rookie Jaxson Dart to be in at QB at this point in the season, and while I’m not sure if Dart is going to be a star right out of the gate, he’s a good athlete and could run a similar offense to the one Daboll ran with Daniel Jones back in 2022. And regardless of who’s in at QB, Malik Nabers will be a big mismatch against whichever corner the Vikings put on him.

If the Giants can just get to around 21 points or so, I think they’ve got a real chance. Honestly, I feel that way about a lot of Giants games this year. This is a big upset, but it may not be the only upset New York pulls off this year. Minnesota now has to lick their wounds before closing out the regular season with 2, massive divisional games. 

Final score: 23-17 Giants

Week 17 vs Detroit Lions: W (10-6)

Credit: Jeffrey Becker/Imagn Images

On Christmas Day, in front of a rowdy, Winter Whiteout crowd, the Vikings pick up what might be their biggest win in the Kevin O’Connell era. 

I will grant you, sweeping the Lions is an extremely bold prediction, and I don’t want this to be taken as disrespect towards Detroit, who has put together another great team. But given how both teams’ offseasons went, I really do think the door is open for the Vikings to take down the Lions. 

Losing Ben Johnson and Aaron Glenn is one thing, but to lose Frank Ragnow on top of that is a huge blow. Ragnow was the engine of the offensive line, and I think is going to be sorely missed. Add in the improvements the Vikings made on the defensive side of the ball, and I just don’t think the Lions will be able to score at will on this defense like they have in years past. 

And I firmly believe there will be chances for the Vikings to hit some chunk plays through the air. T.J. Hockenson is a player to watch in this one, and I think he could be in line for a big game. I thought Hockenson played really well against the Lions in Week 18 last season, winning on most of his routes, but Sam Darnold just couldn’t seem to get the ball to him.

If J.J. McCarthy can keep his cool better than Darnold did, I like the Vikings’ offense in this matchup. A late, 4th quarter TD to Hockenson gives the Vikings the lead before a Dallas Turner sack closes things out.

Final score: 27-23 Vikings

Week 18 vs. Green Bay Packers: W (11-6)

Credit: Jerry Holt/Minneapolis Star-Tribune

To close out the regular season, the Vikings notch another divisional win, toppling the Packers at home to put their record at 11-6. 

The turnovers forced by Green Bay in the first matchup dry up, as Minnesota takes much better care of the ball at home. While I don’t think they’ll race out to a 3-possession lead like last year, I think the Vikings will put up some points on their first few drives to give this game a much different feel than the matchup in Lambeau. While McKinney and Evan Williams make up a terrific safety duo, there are some very winnable matchups for the Vikings’ receivers vs. the Packers’ corners, now without Jaire Alexander. 

The Packers have plenty of offensive firepower in their own right to keep up with the Vikings, which could make for one of the more exciting games this season. Jordan Love has fared better against Brian Flores’ defense than most QBs, and is one of the toughest quarterbacks to sack in the NFL. A lot will be placed on this young Packers’ receiving corps to win downfield. 

The Vikings’ quick start on offense ends up being the difference, as the Packers are just not quite able to find that final score to put them ahead. Minnesota ends the regular season with a massive win over its bitter rival. 

Final score: 30-26 Vikings

Final thoughts

Credit: Brad Rempel/USA Today

I’ve got the Vikings finishing the 2025 season at 11-6, and while that may be 3 fewer wins than the year before, I think it would be a huge success. They play an extremely tough schedule and are in an extremely tough division, but 11 wins might be just enough for them to finish on top of the NFC North.

I think the Vikings are going to be a really good team this season, and while I may not quite call them a true, tier 1 Super Bowl contender, I think they’re knocking on the door and should be back in the playoffs again. And with major improvements made on both lines, this is a team that’s better built to win in January.

I’m not sure if this is the year for the Vikings, but I do think it will be another fun season of winning football under Kevin O’Connell.

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