The league’s most expensive position has never felt this desperate. Ten different front offices will spend the next few weeks trying to solve the same riddle: they need a quarterback, and there’s almost nowhere to find one. The draft offers one golden ticket in presumed No. 1 pick Fernando Mendoza, then a steep drop into maybes and long shots that already have evaluators flashing back to the thin 2022 class. The veteran aisle isn’t much better, stocked with bloated contracts, damaged goods, and “solutions” that create as many problems as they fix.
Record Dead Cap Hits And Golden Handcuffs At Quarterback

Feb 8, 2026; Santa Clara, CA, USA; NFL commissioner Roger Goodell looks on in Super Bowl LX between the Seattle Seahawks and the New England Patriots at Levi’s Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Kyle Terada-Imagn Images
This offseason isn’t just about who teams want next; it’s about what they owe from the last big swing. If Miami cuts Tua Tagovailoa, they’d eat an almost unthinkable $99 million in dead cap, obliterating Russell Wilson’s mark and setting a new standard for financial regret. Kyler Murray’s contract still carries roughly three years and $125 million, including $60 million guaranteed for any team that trades for him, while Deshaun Watson sits atop the league with an $80.7 million cap hit in 2026. The league’s contract structure has turned a handful of quarterback rooms into cautionary tales.
1. Las Vegas Raiders: The One Team With A Straight Line To A Franchise QB

Indiana’s Fernando Mendoza (15) smiles as he celebrates after the College Football Playoff National Championship college football game at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens on Monday, Jan. 19, 2026. Mandatory Credit: Rich Janzaruk-Imagn Images
In a landscape full of hedges and escape plans, the Raiders actually have clarity. With the No. 1 pick in hand, they’re widely expected to draft Indiana star Fernando Mendoza, whom ESPN describes as the “presumed first selection”. As a Heisman winner and national champion, he is likely to be their starting quarterback before summer is out. At 6-foot-5 and 225 pounds, with high-end traits and production, he’s the only prospect in this class scouts talk about in true franchise-quarterback terms. For once, Las Vegas doesn’t need to overthink it; they can finally stop renting solutions and build around a rookie deal.
2. Arizona Cardinals: Trying To Crawl Out From Under Kyler Murray’s Contract

Nov 3, 2025; Arlington, Texas, USA; Arizona Cardinals quarterback Kyler Murray (1) looks on from the field before the game between the Dallas Cowboys and the Arizona Cardinals at AT&T Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Jerome Miron-Imagn Images
Arizona’s problem isn’t deciding whether to move on from Kyler Murray; it’s figuring out how to do it without detonating the cap. ESPN reports that the Cardinals are actively seeking a trade partner, in part because cutting him would stick them with more than $54.7 million in dead money—second only to Wilson’s record hit. A trade before the league year flips would save around $35 million in space compared with his projected 2026 cap charge north of $52 million, but there’s a catch. Any team that bites still inherits three years and about $125 million, with $60 million guaranteed, making Murray a high-priced bet on a reset.
3. Miami Dolphins: The $99 Million Question Around Tua Tagovailoa

Jan 4, 2026; Foxborough, Massachusetts, USA; Miami Dolphins quarterback Tua Tagovailoa (1) throws a pass before the game against the New England Patriots at Gillette Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Brian Fluharty-Imagn Images
Miami’s situation with Tagovailoa reads like a case study in how quickly a neat plan can twist into a cap nightmare. From 2022 through 2023, he ranked third in EPA per dropback behind only Patrick Mahomes and Josh Allen, the kind of efficiency that usually locks in a long-term marriage. But as ESPN details, his extension now leaves the Dolphins boxed in: cutting him would trigger that record $99 million dead-cap charge, even with a post-June 1 designation leaving a $67 million hit in 2026 alone. A trade is gentler but still messy, with any new team absorbing a fully guaranteed $39 million base in 2026 while Miami likely eats salary just to nudge the deal over the line.
4. Cleveland Browns: Paying For A Star While Still Shopping For Stability

Green Bay Packers quarterback Malik Willis (2) throws during the third quarter of their game against the Baltimore Ravens Saturday, December 27, 2025 at Lambeau Field in Green Bay, Wisconsin. Mandatory Credit: Mark Hoffman-Imagn Images
If there’s a team living the full downside of the franchise-quarterback bet, it’s Cleveland. Watson carries the league’s highest 2026 cap hit at $80.7 million, a figure ESPN highlights as the anchor on a roster that still feels one steady season away from contention. Yet the Browns appear on the same list of quarterback-needy clubs that might chase Malik Willis, the intriguing free agent with only six career starts but eye-popping efficiency numbers from his time backing up in Green Bay. The logic is cold but clear: the only way out is to find competent starter play on a more modest deal while that enormous Watson number lingers in the background.
5. Atlanta Falcons: Banking On Michael Penix Jr. But Needing A Safety Net

Nov 16, 2025; Atlanta, Georgia, USA; Atlanta Falcons quarterback Michael Penix Jr. (9) throws the ball in the third quarter against the Carolina Panthers at Mercedes-Benz Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Brett Davis-Imagn Images
Atlanta isn’t pretending the job is done just because Michael Penix Jr. is on the depth chart. ESPN groups the Falcons among the ten teams that still need another quarterback, pointing out that Penix is coming off a late-season ACL tear that clouds the early part of 2026. That reality pulls them toward a veteran who can compete to start in Week 1, with Kirk Cousins mentioned as a natural fit given his familiarity with this style of offense and the talent on hand. Penix might still be the future, but the present demands real competition, not just a clipboard backup.
6. Indianapolis Colts: Jones, Leonard, And A Search That Isn’t Over

Indianapolis Colts quarterback Daniel Jones (17) is forced out of bounds on a keeper during the first quarter of an NFL football game at EverBank Stadium, Sunday, Dec. 7, 2025, in Jacksonville, Fla. The Jaguars defeated the Colts 36-19. Mandatory Credit: Corey Perrine-Imagn Images
On paper, the Colts could look crowded with Daniel Jones and Riley Leonard, but that’s not how ESPN sees it. The expectation is that Indianapolis signs Jones, coming off his Achilles injury, while Leonard settles in behind him, yet the team still profiles as one that should add another veteran to handle early-season duties if Jones isn’t at full speed. The article floats names like Marcus Mariota and Joe Flacco for that role and even labels Anthony Richardson Sr. a “huge sleeper” who could be moved if the right offer comes. However they structure it, the message is obvious: this front office knows it hasn’t solved the quarterback yet.
7. New York Jets: A Lot Of Flexibility, Not Much Certainty

Nov 23, 2025; Baltimore, Maryland, USA; New York Jets quarterback Justin Fields (7) looks on before the game against the Baltimore Ravens at M&T Bank Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Peter Casey-Imagn Images
The Jets have almost everything you’d want for a bold quarterback move: a high draft position, extra first-round capital, and workable cap space, except clarity. ESPN sketches out one version of 2026 where they roll with Justin Fields, Tyrod Taylor, and a mid-round rookie, a low-ceiling but stable room. It also notes they’re one of the few franchises positioned to swing at Murray or Tagovailoa if the price drops, with Murray framed as the more plausible target given scheme fit under Frank Reich and familiarity with Tagovailoa from division play. Whatever direction they choose, the status quo doesn’t feel like a long-term answer.
8. Pittsburgh Steelers: Rodgers As A Short-Term Fix, Not A Long-Term Plan

Jan 12, 2026; Pittsburgh, PA, USA; Pittsburgh Steelers quarterback Aaron Rodgers (8) leaves the field following an AFC Wild Card Round loss to the Houston Texans at Acrisure Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Barry Reeger-Imagn Images
Pittsburgh sits in an awkward middle ground: too talented to bottom out, too unsettled at quarterback to feel secure. Rodgers’ name still sits atop the depth chart, but ESPN’s analysis is blunt about where he is physically, pointing to his limited mobility and a shallow average depth of target as signs of a shrinking game. Only two quarterbacks threw shorter passes last season. Even if he returns on a one-year deal, the recommendation is to pair him with a younger option who can eventually take over, with Spencer Rattler mentioned as a stylistic match to learn behind him. The Steelers can’t afford to treat 2026 as just another nostalgia tour.
9. Minnesota Vikings: J.J. McCarthy Won’t Be Handed The Job

Jan 4, 2026; Minneapolis, Minnesota, USA; Minnesota Vikings quarterback J.J. McCarthy (9) throws a pass against the Green Bay Packers during the first quarter at U.S. Bank Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Jeffrey Becker-Imagn Images
The Vikings believe in J.J. McCarthy’s upside, but they’re not going to operate on faith alone. ESPN ranks Minnesota among the ten teams that will “absolutely bring in competition,” recalling last year’s flirtation with Rodgers as evidence that the front office is willing to push the room. A reunion with Cousins makes easy sense given his comfort in Kevin O’Connell’s system, yet the article also points toward younger trade swings with names like Tanner McKee, Anthony Richardson Sr., and Will Levis as the kind of profiles O’Connell might want to develop. Either way, 2026 is unlikely to be a solo act for McCarthy.
10. Tennessee Titans: Will Levis As A Reset Opportunity For Somebody Else

Jun 10, 2025; Nashville, TN, USA; Tennessee Titans quarterback Will Levis (8) walks off the field during minicamp at Nissan Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Steve Roberts-Imagn Images
In Tennessee, the quarterback story has already moved on; the only question is who notices. ESPN explains that Will Levis effectively lost his grip on the job when the Titans drafted Cam Ward No. 1 overall in 2024, only to see his own season cut short by shoulder surgery. With a new general manager and head coach now in place and Levis entering the final year of his rookie contract, the piece says it would be “stunned” if he isn’t traded this offseason. For another team, he’s a classic change-of-scenery play: big frame, big arm, and just enough on tape to convince yourself there’s more to unlock.
The Draft Won’t Rescue Everyone From This Quarterback Trap

Indiana’s Fernando Mendoza (15) looks downfield as Roman Hemby (1) fakes the handoff during the College Football Playoff National Championship college football game at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens on Monday, Jan. 19, 2026. Mandatory Credit: Rich Janzaruk-Imagn Images
Strip it down, and the numbers tell the story: ten teams clearly need quarterback help, and there’s one blue-chip prospect expected to go first overall to the Raiders. After Mendoza, the names on the board like Ty Simpson, Garrett Nussmeier, and the rest fit more as bets than building blocks, with ESPN openly wondering if this class could echo 2022’s one-first-rounder outcome. Layer that on top of record dead-money figures, fully guaranteed salaries, and mammoth cap hits, and you get a league where plenty of franchises aren’t just hunting for the next quarterback … they’re still paying, literally and figuratively, for the last one.
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Sources:
How QB-needy NFL teams can approach the bad offseason market — ESPN
NFL teams that need a quarterback in 2026 — Yahoo Sports/MSN
2026 NFL draft QB rankings: Mendoza, Simpson, Chambliss — ESPN
2026 NFL free agency: Ranking top 50 players, QBs available — ESPN
